All analyses
AI analysis

Paragon Ceylon PLC: research report

OvervaluedbearishSep 4, 2026

Paragon's June quarter produced the worst comparable margins in its record, while the share trades at 813 times book value despite continuing losses.

Reports without a focus are public, one per stock per day. Generation usually takes about 15 minutes, and we'll notify you when it's ready.

Why bearish

  • The June 2026 net margin was -53.1%, the weakest among seven comparable June quarters.
  • Audited revenue fell 42.7% in the year to March 2026.
  • The share trades at 813 times book value, the highest P/B ranking among 29 manufacturing peers.

Against this. The share remained up 524.7% over one year as at 4 September 2026.

Operating margin
-52.3%sector 11.3%
from -11.2% a year earlier
Net margin
-53.1%sector 6.3%
from -11.5% a year earlier, revenue -67.4%
Return on equity
-326.6%
twelve months to Jun 30, 2026, unaudited
P/B
776.43sector 1.63
book Rs 0.69 per share
Dividend yield
0.00%sector 2.05%
trailing twelve months

Current figures, updated daily from filings to Jun 30, 2026. The report below was written on Sep 4, 2026. Sector figures are the median of 29 listed companies in the same sector.

Overview

Paragon Ceylon prints security register stationery and computer continuous forms for commercial customers. Its latest filed June quarter was the weakest comparable June performance on margins, even though June has historically been its strongest quarter for gross margin.

Price performance

The share closed at LKR 557.00 on 4 September 2026. It fell 19.9% over one month while the ASPI gained 2.5%, but remained up 524.7% over one year against a 4.7% ASPI return.

The price sat 61.6% through its adjusted 52-week range. Recent volatility and trading volume were both below the company's own longer-term norms, with 20-day volume markedly lower than the 60-day average.

Valuation

Valuation is difficult to support from earnings because trailing EPS is negative and no P/E is available. The P/B of 813 is far above the manufacturing median of 1.7 and ranks at the 100th percentile among 29 peers, while audited ROE was -132.3%.

The dividend yield is 0.0%, and no dividend history is supplied to indicate a recurring payout.

News and sentiment

Direct company coverage is thin: no material articles were identified in the past 90 days. There are no confirmed or pending corporate actions in the supplied data.

Financials

June 2026 revenue was LKR 1.6 million. Gross margin was 38.1%, operating margin was -52.3%, and net margin was -53.1%. The corresponding June 2025 filing reported 21.6%, -11.2% and -11.5%, respectively, but it was filed on a group basis rather than the current company basis and is not like-for-like.

June is structurally Paragon's strongest quarter for gross margin, yet the latest 38.1% gross margin was the worst of seven comparable June observations. Operating and net margins were also the worst of those seven June observations. The LKR 0.8 million net loss exceeded the operating loss by LKR 14 thousand, indicating a further below-the-line drag.

For the audited year to March 2026, revenue fell 42.7% and the annual net loss widened. Equity also contracted, while the 1.0 million share count was unchanged, so the deterioration was not caused by a change in shares outstanding.

Risks

The principal risk is continued losses against a rapidly shrinking equity base. At March 2026, debt was LKR 448 thousand, equal to 29.6% of owners' equity, compared with 6.9% a year earlier.

Loss-making operations left interest cover at -43.29 times, while the current ratio fell to 1.17 from 1.78. Operating cash flow conversion was only 0.17 times and free cash flow was negative LKR 366 thousand, reinforcing the pressure on liquidity.

Manufacturing conditions also remain mixed, with Sri Lankan merchandise exports down 1.3% in July and domestic inflation at 8.0% in August. These are sector and market conditions rather than company-specific developments.

Outlook

As at 4 September 2026, the next identifiable event is the filing for the quarter ending 30 September 2026, expected between 12 November 2026 and 2 March 2027. It should show whether the weak June result was followed by further pressure on revenue and losses, but the supplied data provides no company guidance, orders or contract information to determine the outcome.

The filing will also provide the next company-basis comparison after the June 2026 accounts, which is more useful than comparing the latest result with the June 2025 group filing.

About this report. Generated on Sep 4, 2026 from market data up to Sep 4, 2026, 0 material news articles over 90 days and financials to Jun 30, 2026. Every figure is drawn from EquityLK's own data on this company. AI research can contain errors, so treat it as a starting point, not investment advice.

Previous reports