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John Keells Holdings PLC: research report

Moderately undervaluedbullishSep 25, 2026

Evidence points bullish because operating profit grew 38.9% while debt fell, strengthening a moderately undervalued balance-sheet case. The catch is a P/E well above diversified-holdings peers.

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Why bullish

  • June-quarter operating profit grew 38.9% year-on-year, with the operating margin the best of the last 7 comparable June quarters.
  • Annual net debt fell to LKR 118.7 billion from LKR 152.3 billion, reducing gearing to 33.6% of owners' equity.
  • The share trades at 0.81 times book value, cheaper than 66% of days since January 2019.

Against this. The 23.1 times P/E sits at the 88th percentile among diversified-holdings peers, despite a trailing ROE of only 3.5%.

Operating margin
5.2%sector 9.0%
from 4.7% a year earlier
Net margin
0.6%sector 3.2%
from 0.6% a year earlier, revenue +24.1%
Return on equity
3.5%
twelve months to Jun 30, 2026, unaudited
P/E
22.7sector 13.9
earnings Rs 0.82 per share
P/B
0.80sector 1.29
book Rs 23.45 per share
Dividend yield
1.60%sector 2.09%
36.4% of earnings paid out

Current figures, updated daily from filings to Jun 30, 2026. The report below was written on Sep 25, 2026. Sector figures are the median of 22 listed companies in the same sector.

Overview

John Keells is a diversified group spanning transport and logistics, consumer businesses, leisure, property and financial services. The central change is a broad earnings recovery after major investments began contributing, but the June quarter also shows that finance costs and minority interests still absorb much of the group profit available to ordinary shareholders.

Price performance

At LKR 19.00 on 24 September 2026, JKH had fallen 4.0% over one month against a 1.3% fall in the ASPI, and was down 13.2% over one year while the ASPI gained 2.2%. The share has therefore lagged the market over both windows.

It stood 21.8% up its 52-week range and 18.4% below its high, while 60-day volatility was 9.3% against its own one-year level of 20.7%, indicating a quieter recent trading period. The three-year record contains three falls of 15% or more, the deepest 31%, which has not yet recovered.

Median daily turnover was LKR 36.4 million over 60 sessions. A LKR 1 million order is about 2.7% of what trades on a typical day, a small part of a day's trading.

Valuation

The valuation sends mixed signals. At 23.1 times P/E, the market pays LKR 23.10 for every LKR 1 of trailing profit, versus a sector median of 13.08 times and an 88th-percentile ranking among peers. This is a demanding earnings valuation given the 3.5% trailing return on equity.

Conversely, the 0.81 times P/B means the market pays 81 cents for each rupee of net assets, below the sector median of 1.30 times and at the 15th percentile. It is also cheaper than 66% of days since January 2019, so the discount to book is meaningful in JKH's own record.

The 1.6% dividend yield is at the 13th percentile of peers, while annual dividends rose to LKR 0.30 in FY2026 from LKR 0.15 in FY2025. The latest quarter supplied only 0.5% of trailing EPS, and the P/E would be 23.0 times at the year-ago quarterly net margin, so the present multiple does not depend on an unusually profitable June quarter.

News and sentiment

Company coverage was unusually quiet in the last 30 days, with no articles against a monthly baseline of 1.8. Over 90 days, the news set contained 29 material articles, including 5 positive, 18 negative and 6 neutral items; the count records article tone rather than a conclusion about the business.

On 27 May, JKH reported FY2025/26 EBITDA of LKR 80.0 billion, up 75%, and recurring profit attributable of LKR 13.2 billion, up 155%, citing contributions across retail, transportation and leisure. The FY2026 dividend totalled LKR 0.30 per share; the LKR 0.10 final dividend went ex-dividend on 5 June 2026, so a buyer today does not receive it.

Financials

June-quarter revenue rose 24.1% year-on-year to LKR 141.6 billion and operating profit increased 38.9% to LKR 7.4 billion, but net profit rose only 7.8% to LKR 773 million. Finance costs, tax, associates and other below-operating items took LKR 6.6 billion, up from LKR 4.6 billion a year earlier, so stronger operations translated only weakly into profit attributable at group level.

Gross margin was 17.4% versus 18.8% a year earlier, operating margin was 5.2% versus 4.7%, and net margin was 0.6% in both periods. June has been the weakest quarter for gross margin on average over the 6 complete years on record; against comparable June quarters, the operating margin was the best of 7, while gross and net margins were middling at 5 of 7.

The twelve months to June 2026 produced revenue growth of 53.7% and a 3.5% return on equity. Equity reached LKR 440.5 billion from LKR 418.4 billion a year earlier. The latest balance sheet used 17.73 billion shares, while 17.74 billion ordinary shares are now in issue. Minority shareholders received 38.2% of FY2026 group profit, meaning group net profit materially overstates the profit belonging to the ordinary shares being valued.

Risks

Financing remains the main risk. At FY2026, net debt was LKR 118.7 billion and gearing was 33.6% of owners' equity. This was an improvement from 41.0% a year earlier, but interest cover was only 1.73 times, meaning operating profit covered the interest bill fewer than two times.

The current ratio fell to 1.05 from 1.23. The group therefore had only marginally more short-term assets, including inventories and customer receivables, than bills due within a year. Cash conversion was 0.60 times, down from 2.92 times, so less than the annual operating profit arrived as operating cash.

The operating backdrop also carries risks across the group's largest exposures. Consumer and retail, representing 74% of reported segment revenue, faces mixed purchasing-power conditions and higher energy costs, while tourism and logistics face fuel-related pressure. As at 25 September 2026, Treasury bill yields had risen after an 11-week decline and the rupee had weakened, conditions that can raise funding and imported-cost pressure for a diversified group.

Outlook

As at 25 September 2026, the next specific catalyst is the interim quarter ending 30 September 2026, expected to be filed between 6 and 14 November. It will show whether the June operating improvement is translating into profit after finance costs and into cash, or whether the below-operating drag remains the dominant constraint.

The available data cannot isolate the earnings contribution of individual investments such as City of Dreams Sri Lanka or CWIT. It also cannot establish how the recent consumer, tourism, energy and funding backdrop has affected JKH itself; those are sector and market conditions rather than company results.

About this report. Generated on Sep 25, 2026 from market data up to Sep 24, 2026, 29 material news articles over 90 days and financials to Jun 30, 2026, and scored 60 of 100 on value (moderately undervalued) when it was written. Every figure is drawn from EquityLK's own data on this company. AI research can contain errors, so treat it as a starting point, not investment advice.

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