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Ex-Pack Corrugated Cartons PLC: research report

Moderately undervaluedbearishAug 14, 2026

Ex-Pack grew June-quarter revenue 13.5%, but fell into a LKR 8 million loss as all three margins reached their weakest comparable June readings. High debt and worsening cash flow make the low P/B less reassuring.

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Why bearish

  • June-quarter revenue grew 13.5% year-on-year while operating profit fell 27.7%.
  • Gross, operating and net margins were the worst of five comparable June quarters at 17.3%, 4.1% and -0.3%.
  • Debt gearing reached 118.2% and interest cover fell to 0.77 times at March 2026.

Against this. P/B is 0.94 versus the manufacturing-sector median of 1.85, providing valuation support despite weak earnings.

Operating margin
4.1%sector 11.3%
from 6.4% a year earlier
Net margin
-0.3%sector 6.3%
from 1.6% a year earlier, revenue +13.5%
Return on equity
7.0%sector 11.4%
full year to Mar 31, 2026
P/E
12.4sector 12.0
earnings Rs 0.84 per share
P/B
0.86sector 1.63
book Rs 12.05 per share
Dividend yield
3.56%sector 2.05%
44.0% of earnings paid out

Current figures, updated daily from filings to Jun 30, 2026. The report below was written on Aug 14, 2026. Sector figures are the median of 29 listed companies in the same sector.

Overview

Ex-Pack manufactures corrugated cartons, pallets and specialised packaging for domestic and export customers across FMCG, pharmaceuticals, apparel, tea, seafood and food processing. It also provides design, prototyping and value-added carton services.

The latest quarter showed a damaging disconnect: sales increased, but operating profit weakened and the company fell into a small net loss. Margin compression, rather than a lack of revenue, is the immediate issue.

Price performance

The share closed at LKR 11.30 on 14 August 2026. It fell 18.2% over three months, materially worse than the ASPI's 5.6% decline, and fell 25.8% over one year while the index gained 9.3%.

The price sits at its 52-week low, 28.7% below the high. Recent volatility was 34.0% annualised, 6.4% above its own one-year level, while 20-day average volume was 21.4% above the 60-day average. The data shows heavier trading and price movement, but does not establish why the share weakened.

Valuation

Ex-Pack trades at 13.4 times earnings and 0.94 times book value, with P/E at the 59th sector percentile and P/B at the 19th. Its 7.0% annual ROE is modest, so the discount to sector book value is consistent with weaker returns rather than an obvious mispricing.

The 4.2% dividend yield is high at the 80th sector percentile, but the payout direction is negative: restated DPS fell from LKR 0.62 in FY2025 to LKR 0.47 in FY2026. The latest year may be incomplete, so the decline is not yet a definitive full-year cut.

News and sentiment

Coverage was normal, with two material articles in the 90-day window and both classified as positive. Recent company items included a board appointment and an 14 August corporate disclosure; the dataset also records an enforcement-action disclosure, which limits the comfort provided by the headline sentiment split.

The FY2026 second interim dividend of LKR 0.37 had a confirmed ex-date of 27 March 2026 and payment date of 21 April 2026. No undated corporate action is outstanding.

Financials

June-quarter revenue grew 13.5% year-on-year to LKR 2.53 billion, but operating profit fell 27.7% to LKR 103 million and the company fell into a LKR 8 million net loss. Gross margin narrowed from 18.4% to 17.3%, operating margin from 6.4% to 4.1%, and net margin from 1.6% to -0.3%.

This was the weakest comparable June quarter across all three measures: gross and operating margins ranked fifth of five, while net margin ranked fifth of five. Finance costs and other below-the-line items absorbed LKR 111 million, turning positive operating profit into a loss.

For the audited year ended March 2026, revenue fell 1.0% and net profit fell 38.0%. Equity attributable to owners rose to LKR 4.03 billion, while shares outstanding remained 333.3 million, so the per-share weakness was not caused by a reported change in the share count.

Risks

The leading risk is financing pressure. At March 2026, total debt was LKR 4.76 billion, equal to 118.2% of owners' equity, while operating profit covered finance costs only 0.77 times. The current ratio of 0.97 also leaves limited short-term liquidity headroom.

Cash conversion was negative at -0.5 times and free cash flow was negative LKR 862 million for the audited year, showing that reported earnings were not supported by operating cash. The manufacturing sector's reported labour shortages are an additional operating constraint, while higher fuel prices remain a cost risk for a packaging producer.

Outlook

The next specific information point is the filing for the quarter ending 30 September 2026. As at 14 August 2026, it is expected from 5 November 2026 to 19 January 2027, and will show whether the June loss and weakest-June margin record were temporary or part of the latest earnings path.

Eased interest-rate conditions in Sri Lanka could reduce refinancing pressure, but the available company data cannot show how quickly that would flow through to finance costs. The next filing is therefore more informative than a valuation re-rating alone, because it will update both operating recovery and cash generation.

About this report. Generated on Aug 14, 2026 from market data up to Aug 14, 2026, 2 material news articles over 90 days and financials to Jun 30, 2026. Every figure is drawn from EquityLK's own data on this company. AI research can contain errors, so treat it as a starting point, not investment advice.

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