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Windforce PLC: research report

OvervaluedbearishSep 18, 2026

Evidence points bearish because WIND trades at 36.2 times trailing profit despite June margins being the weakest among comparable June quarters. The 100 MW solar project and battery-storage rollout add meaningful operating capacity.

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Why bearish

  • The shares trade at 36.2 times trailing earnings, almost double the sector median of 18.6 times.
  • June net margin fell to 33.4% and was the weakest of six comparable June quarters.
  • WindForce scores 13 of 100 on price against book value, earnings and dividends, placing it in the CSE's Overvalued band.

Against this. The IFC-backed 100 MW Siyambalanduwa solar project is large relative to WindForce's current 268 MW renewable portfolio.

Operating margin
42.5%sector 34.5%
from 47.7% a year earlier
Net margin
33.4%sector 20.7%
from 39.2% a year earlier, revenue +23.4%
Return on equity
5.8%
twelve months to Jun 30, 2026, unaudited
P/E
35.7sector 24.7
earnings Rs 1.12 per share
P/B
2.07sector 1.86
book Rs 19.29 per share
Dividend yield
0.00%sector 1.43%
trailing twelve months

Current figures, updated daily from filings to Jun 30, 2026. The report below was written on Sep 18, 2026. Sector figures are the median of 11 listed companies in the same sector.

Overview

WindForce owns and operates renewable generation assets while also providing EPC and O&M services across wind, solar, hydro and battery storage. The latest June quarter delivered higher revenue and profit, but the improvement came with materially weaker margins against the same quarter a year earlier.

The central tension is expansion versus valuation: the company is commissioning storage and solar assets and has a large solar development pipeline, while the current price already capitalises earnings that depend heavily on a single strong quarter.

Price performance

At LKR 40.50 on 18 September 2026, WIND had fallen 9.8% over three months, underperforming the ASPI's 5.9% decline over the same period. The share sits midway through its 52-week range, rather than near either extreme.

Its three-year record includes one fall of 15% or more, the deepest being 27.2%, which took 4.5 months to bottom and has not yet recovered. Trading liquidity is modest: median daily turnover was LKR 3.0 million, and a LKR 1 million order is about 33% of what trades on a typical day, a large part of a day's trading. Recent volume is above its own 60-day norm while price volatility is below its own one-year norm.

Valuation

The P/E of 36.2 times means the market price is LKR 36.20 for every LKR 1 of trailing profit, versus a sector median of 18.6 times. The P/B of 2.1 times means LKR 2.10 is paid for each LKR 1 of net assets, above the sector median of 1.8 times. Its P/E sits at the 75th percentile among peers and P/B at the 67th percentile, so neither multiple reads as cheap within power and energy.

Return on equity was 6.1%, which is modest support for paying above book value, while the trailing dividend yield is 0.0%. The payout was LKR 1.00 per share in both FY2024 and FY2025, but the latest dividend's ex-date was 25 February 2025, so a buyer today does not receive it.

Against its own record, WIND's P/E is more expensive than every day before 2026 and all but 73 days since April 2021; P/B is more expensive than 81% of days since April 2021. Nearly half of trailing EPS came from the June quarter, so the earnings behind this price lean heavily on that period; at the year-ago June margin, the same price would equate to a P/E of 33.3 times.

News and sentiment

Company coverage was about normal over the past month, with the 90-day material-news balance mostly positive. Several articles on 18 September reported the commissioning of a 10 MW/40 MWh grid-scale battery facility and a 5 MW floating solar plant, taking stated renewable capacity to about 268 MW. These are the same underlying commissioning event reported by multiple outlets.

WindForce also secured IFC financing of up to US$18 million for the 100 MW Siyambalanduwa solar project and renewable-storage investment, reported in April and July. The offset is funding risk: on 15 September, it was reported that the proposed LKR 4 billion debenture issue had been postponed because of rising market interest rates.

Financials

June-quarter revenue rose 23.4% year-on-year, while operating profit rose 10.1% and net profit rose only 5.1%. Revenue therefore grew faster than the profit ultimately available to shareholders, with LKR 239.6 million of finance costs, tax, associates and other below-the-line items separating operating profit from net profit.

Gross margin was 55.7% versus 61.8% a year earlier, operating margin was 42.5% versus 47.7%, and net margin was 33.4% versus 39.2%. In everyday terms, the business retained about 33 cents of profit from each rupee of June sales, down from 39 cents a year earlier. Gross and net margins were each the worst of six comparable June quarters, while operating margin ranked fifth of six, making the revenue growth less valuable than the headline increase suggests.

Net profit was LKR 874.6 million for the quarter, but LKR 112.4 million belonged to minority shareholders rather than the ordinary shares being valued. The latest balance-sheet share count was 1.355 billion, versus 1.354 billion shares currently in issue, a small difference that does not materially alter the reading of per-share metrics.

Risks

The leading risk is financing an expanding asset base. Total debt had risen to LKR 22.3 billion by June, while annual gearing was 48.9% of owners' equity at March. Interest cover was 2.72 times, meaning operating profit covered the interest bill fewer than three times, leaving less room for higher borrowing costs or weaker project cash generation.

The annual current ratio was 2.79 times, so short-term assets exceeded short-term bills, but cash conversion was only 0.55 times in FY2026: only about 55 cents of operating cash arrived for each rupee of operating profit. Annual free cash flow was negative, consistent with a capital-intensive build-out. Minority shareholders received 28.4% of annual group profit, so group net profit overstates the earnings attributable to the listed shares.

The postponed debenture issue also leaves the funding mix relevant as at 18 September 2026. Rising domestic yields and a weaker rupee are market-wide conditions rather than company news, but they form a less accommodating backdrop for debt-funded renewable construction.

Outlook

As at 18 September 2026, the next scheduled evidence point is the September interim filing, expected between 6 and 14 November. It should show whether the June margin weakness persisted and provide a fresher view of debt after the battery and solar commissioning activity.

The company has stated that the first grid-scale battery is part of a 13-facility national portfolio, while Siyambalanduwa is a separate 100 MW solar development. The supplied disclosures do not state the revenue, margin or commissioning timetable for the wider rollout, so their eventual earnings contribution cannot yet be sized from the available data.

About this report. Generated on Sep 18, 2026 from market data up to Sep 18, 2026, 12 material news articles over 90 days and financials to Jun 30, 2026, and scored 13 of 100 on value (overvalued) when it was written. Every figure is drawn from EquityLK's own data on this company. AI research can contain errors, so treat it as a starting point, not investment advice.

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