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Windforce PLC: research report

OvervaluedbearishSep 25, 2026

The evidence points bearish because WindForce trades on 35.8 times trailing profit despite weak June margin rankings. Its 100 MW solar development provides the main counterweight.

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Why bearish

  • The shares trade at 35.8 times trailing earnings, while the June net margin of 33.4% was the worst among comparable June quarters.
  • Debt stood at 48.9% of owners' equity at March 2026, while operating cash flow covered only 0.55 times operating profit for that year.

Against this. The IFC-backed 100 MW Siyambalanduwa solar project would expand the reported 268 MW renewable portfolio by roughly 37%, although development execution remains necessary.

Operating margin
42.5%sector 34.5%
from 47.7% a year earlier
Net margin
33.4%sector 20.7%
from 39.2% a year earlier, revenue +23.4%
Return on equity
5.8%
twelve months to Jun 30, 2026, unaudited
P/E
35.7sector 24.7
earnings Rs 1.12 per share
P/B
2.07sector 1.86
book Rs 19.29 per share
Dividend yield
0.00%sector 1.43%
trailing twelve months

Current figures, updated daily from filings to Jun 30, 2026. The report below was written on Sep 25, 2026. Sector figures are the median of 11 listed companies in the same sector.

Overview

WindForce owns, develops and operates wind, solar, hydro and battery-storage assets, alongside EPC and O&M services. The latest June quarter delivered higher revenue and profit than a year earlier, but profitability margins narrowed and ranked poorly against prior June periods.

The business is also moving from generation into grid-scale storage and larger solar development. That broadens its asset base, but raises the importance of project delivery, financing and cash generation.

Price performance

At LKR 40.10 on 25 September 2026, WIND had gained 42.6% over one year against a 3.4% ASPI gain, while its three-month return of -6.9% lagged the index's -5.3%. The share sat 47.0% through its 52-week range, rather than close to either extreme.

Recent trading has been quieter than its own norm: 60-day volatility was below the prior year's level and 20-day volume was sharply lower. Median daily turnover was LKR 3.0 million, and a LKR 1 million order is about 33% of what trades on a typical day, a large part of a day's trading. The three-year record contains one fall of 15% or more that has not yet recovered.

Valuation

At 35.8 rupees for every rupee of trailing profit, the P/E is high against the power and energy peer median of 18.6 times; the P/B of 2.08 means 2.08 rupees for each rupee of net assets and is also above the 1.8 times peer median. WIND ranks at the 75th percentile on P/E and 67th percentile on P/B among available sector peers, placing it toward the more expensive end rather than at an isolated extreme.

The valuation is also demanding against WindForce's own record: the P/E is more expensive than every day before 2026 and all but 97 days since April 2021, while P/B is more expensive than 81% of days since April 2021. A buyer at this price is relying heavily on the latest quarter, which supplied 49.9% of trailing EPS; at the year-ago net margin, the same price would be on 32.9 times earnings.

Return on equity was 5.8% over the twelve months to June 2026, which helps reconcile the P/B with the high P/E but does not itself support a large earnings multiple. There is no trailing dividend yield; the recorded payout was LKR 1.00 per share in both FY2024 and FY2025, and the last dividend's ex-date has passed.

News and sentiment

Coverage has been unusually heavy, with 13 articles in the past 30 days against a normal monthly baseline of 5.5. Of 19 material articles over 90 days, 12 were positive, four negative and three neutral, though this mix records news flow rather than a conclusion about the shares.

WindForce reported on 18 September that it had commissioned a 10 MW BESS and a 5 MW floating solar plant, taking renewable capacity to about 268 MW. On 25 September, six project companies were reported to have submitted winning bids for 28.25 MW of BESS capacity, but formal awards and approvals remain pending. Separately, the proposed LKR 4.0 billion debenture was postponed amid higher market interest rates, removing a planned funding route.

Financials

June-quarter revenue rose 23.4% year-on-year, but operating profit grew only 10.1% and net profit only 5.1%. This means the additional sales produced less incremental profit than a year earlier. Finance costs, tax, associates and other below-operating items absorbed LKR 240 million, up from LKR 180 million a year earlier, further limiting the net-profit increase.

Gross margin was 55.7% versus 61.8% a year earlier, operating margin was 42.5% versus 47.7%, and net margin was 33.4% versus 39.2%. The gross and net margins were the worst of six comparable June quarters, while operating margin ranked among the weakest, so the latest profit behind the valuation rests on a less favourable margin than WindForce has historically produced in this quarter.

The twelve months to June 2026 generated LKR 8.5 billion of revenue and a 24.8% net margin. Minority shareholders received 28.4% of FY2026 group profit, meaning group profit is materially larger than the profit attributable to the ordinary shares being valued.

Risks

Funding and cash generation are the lead risks. At March 2026, gearing was 48.9% of owners' equity and operating profit covered interest expense 2.72 times, leaving less room for a higher funding bill than a lightly indebted utility would have. The later postponement of the proposed debenture reinforces the practical importance of financing conditions.

The current ratio was 2.79 times, meaning short-term assets, including receivables and other assets expected to turn into cash within a year, exceeded bills due in that year. However, operating cash flow was only 0.55 times operating profit and free cash flow was negative LKR 216 million in FY2026, so accounting profit did not fully arrive as cash after investment needs. Rising domestic yields and a weaker rupee in the market backdrop add pressure to the funding environment, without establishing a company-specific cost outcome.

Outlook

As at 25 September 2026, the next scheduled evidence is the September interim filing, expected between 6 and 14 November. It will replace the June-quarter figures and show whether revenue growth, margin pressure and the investment programme have continued.

Formal awards and approvals for the newly bid BESS projects were still pending as at 25 September, while the IFC financing supports the larger solar and storage programme. The available data establishes project scale but cannot yet show their eventual revenue, margins or funding drawdown.

About this report. Generated on Sep 25, 2026 from market data up to Sep 25, 2026, 19 material news articles over 90 days and financials to Jun 30, 2026, and scored 12 of 100 on value (overvalued) when it was written. Every figure is drawn from EquityLK's own data on this company. AI research can contain errors, so treat it as a starting point, not investment advice.

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